Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan St.
Big Ten
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.7#42
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#28
Pace67.4#190
Improvement-2.5#271

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#42
Improvement-2.0#275

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#41
Improvement-0.5#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round91.1% n/a n/a
Second Round41.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.9% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 281   Eastern Michigan W 96-66 97%     1 - 0 +19.4 -5.0 -4.6
  Nov 16, 2010 130   South Carolina W 82-73 86%     2 - 0 +8.2 -0.4 -0.1
  Nov 23, 2010 16   Connecticut L 67-70 33%     2 - 1 +12.1 +7.4 +7.5
  Nov 24, 2010 14   Washington W 76-71 31%     3 - 1 +20.9 +7.9 +8.2
  Nov 28, 2010 207   Tennessee Tech W 73-55 93%     4 - 1 +12.0 -3.1 -2.1
  Dec 01, 2010 2   @ Duke L 79-84 11%     4 - 2 +19.0 +12.0 +11.8
  Dec 04, 2010 237   Bowling Green W 74-39 94%     5 - 2 +27.5 -3.5 -2.3
  Dec 07, 2010 15   Syracuse L 58-72 32%     5 - 3 +1.7 +7.1 +7.9
  Dec 11, 2010 60   Oakland W 77-76 57%     6 - 3 +9.8 +4.2 +4.6
  Dec 18, 2010 336   Prairie View W 90-51 99%     7 - 3 +20.4 -8.5 -8.4
  Dec 22, 2010 5   Texas L 55-67 33%     7 - 4 +3.2 +6.8 +7.9
  Dec 31, 2010 57   Minnesota W 71-62 68%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +14.8 +3.0 +3.2
  Jan 03, 2011 55   @ Northwestern W 65-62 44%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +15.1 +5.5 +6.7
  Jan 08, 2011 43   @ Penn St. L 62-66 39%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +9.5 +6.6 +6.7
  Jan 11, 2011 9   Wisconsin W 64-61 OT 40%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +16.3 +6.3 +7.2
  Jan 15, 2011 55   Northwestern W 71-67 OT 68%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +9.8 +2.5 +3.5
  Jan 18, 2011 20   @ Illinois L 62-71 29%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +7.6 +8.3 +7.8
  Jan 22, 2011 6   @ Purdue L 76-86 18%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +10.5 +10.6 +9.5
  Jan 27, 2011 36   Michigan L 57-61 60%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +4.1 +3.7 +4.1
  Jan 30, 2011 81   Indiana W 84-83 OT 77%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +3.9 +1.6 +1.3
  Feb 02, 2011 85   @ Iowa L 52-72 59%     12 - 9 5 - 5 -11.6 +3.5 +3.9
  Feb 06, 2011 9   @ Wisconsin L 56-82 20%     12 - 10 5 - 6 -6.3 +9.5 +8.7
  Feb 10, 2011 43   Penn St. W 75-57 63%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +25.2 +4.3 +3.9
  Feb 15, 2011 1   @ Ohio St. L 61-71 10%     13 - 11 6 - 7 +14.6 +11.9 +12.2
  Feb 19, 2011 20   Illinois W 61-57 52%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +14.2 +4.9 +5.5
  Feb 22, 2011 57   @ Minnesota W 53-48 45%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +17.1 +5.4 +7.0
  Feb 27, 2011 6   Purdue L 47-67 37%     15 - 12 8 - 8 -5.8 +6.1 +7.2
  Mar 02, 2011 85   Iowa W 85-66 79%     16 - 12 9 - 8 +21.1 +1.5 +1.4
  Mar 05, 2011 36   @ Michigan L 63-70 36%     16 - 13 9 - 9 +7.4 +6.9 +7.2
  Mar 10, 2011 85   Iowa W 66-61 70%     17 - 13 +10.2 +2.6 +2.9
  Mar 11, 2011 6   Purdue W 74-56 26%     18 - 13 +35.4 +9.0 +9.2
  Mar 12, 2011 43   Penn St. L 48-61 51%     18 - 14 -2.7 +4.5 +5.2
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 91.3% 91.3% 9.5 0.0 0.5 2.6 12.0 29.5 32.2 13.1 1.5 8.7 91.3%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.3% 0.0% 91.3% 9.5 0.0 0.5 2.6 12.0 29.5 32.2 13.1 1.5 8.7 91.3%